West Bromwich 1-0 Plymouth Argyle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.43
Over 2.5
49%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
5.19
2-3 Goals
40%
1.97
4-5 Goals
22%
2.72
6+ Goals
13%
6.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.19 — our 25% vs market 14.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.66
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.9
X/1
13%
3.74
X/2
9%
14.95
X/X
11%
7.19
2/1
14%
20.65
2/2
5%
10.85
2/X
5%
18.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-6.9pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.1pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.5pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Bromwich EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 17%
-4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.69/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.74
-14% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
388 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 70%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
24.9 Crosses 11.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Bromwich
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.46 xG 0.23
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
381 Passes 317
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
20.02.2024 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 0-3 HT 0-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
21.10.2023 West Bromwich West Bromwich 0-0 HT 0-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
06.02.2010 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 0-1 HT 0-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
12.09.2009 West Bromwich West Bromwich 3-1 HT 2-1 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
01.03.2008 West Bromwich West Bromwich 3-0 HT 1-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
28.11.2007 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-2 HT 0-2 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Bromwich
1-0
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
2.65 xG 0.78
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
399 Passes 417
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH West Bromwich vs Plymouth Argyle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Bromwich edged past Plymouth Argyle 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had West Bromwich as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, West Bromwich had 49% of the ball to Plymouth Argyle's 51%, shots finished 17-17, expected goals 2.65 to 0.78 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold West Bromwich's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, West Bromwich had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for West Bromwich and 0.33 for Plymouth Argyle.

What was the final score of West Bromwich vs Plymouth Argyle?

West Bromwich 1-0 Plymouth Argyle in the England - Championship on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Bromwich vs Plymouth Argyle?

Before kick-off our model rated a West Bromwich win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split West Bromwich 59%, draw 22%, Plymouth Argyle 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (West Bromwich), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (West Bromwich) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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