Queens Park Rangers 1-1 Millwall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 21 Sep 2024

Queens Park Rangers
1-1 HT 1-1
Millwall
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Queens Park Rangers vs Millwall Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.52
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.7
6+ Goals
10%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.39
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
11%
4.7
X/2
10%
5.89
X/X
17%
4.0
2/1
9%
31.5
2/2
16%
4.64
2/X
6%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-1.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.9pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Queens Park Rangers v Millwall — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Millwall EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +18%
1.30/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.20
-13% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 69%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
23.7 Crosses 17.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Queens Park Rangers vs Millwall Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queens Park Rangers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Millwall
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.79 xG 0.98
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
374 Passes 255
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.01.2024 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 2-0 HT 1-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
26.12.2023 Millwall Millwall 2-0 HT 1-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
11.02.2023 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-2 HT 0-1 Millwall Millwall İNCL
14.09.2022 Millwall Millwall 0-2 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
15.02.2022 Millwall Millwall 2-0 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
07.08.2021 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-1 HT 1-1 Millwall Millwall İNCL

Queens Park Rangers 1-1 Millwall — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queens Park Rangers
1-1
AWAY Millwall
0.85 xG 1.86
60% Ball Possession 40%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 10
357 Passes 203
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 31
11 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Queens Park Rangers vs Millwall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queens Park Rangers and Millwall couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Queens Park Rangers had 60% of the ball to Millwall's 40%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.85 to 1.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millwall led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Queens Park Rangers and 1.17 for Millwall.

What was the final score of Queens Park Rangers vs Millwall?

Queens Park Rangers 1-1 Millwall in the England - Championship on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queens Park Rangers vs Millwall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queens Park Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Queens Park Rangers 40%, draw 30%, Millwall 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Queens Park Rangers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Queens Park Rangers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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