Coventry 1-2 Swansea City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.56
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.89
6+ Goals
10%
8.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.44
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
18%
4.6
X/2
14%
8.28
X/X
15%
5.43
2/1
8%
21.85
2/2
7%
5.56
2/X
7%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-7.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.2pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coventry EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Swansea City EU Bookmakers 29%
-10% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.45/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.47
-24% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
348 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
21.0 Crosses 16.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coventry
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Swansea City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.24 xG 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
353 Passes 471
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.12.2023 Coventry Coventry 2-2 HT 1-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
19.08.2023 Swansea City Swansea City 1-1 HT 1-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL
07.04.2023 Swansea City Swansea City 0-0 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
17.12.2022 Coventry Coventry 3-3 HT 1-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
05.03.2022 Swansea City Swansea City 3-1 HT 2-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
02.11.2021 Coventry Coventry 1-2 HT 1-2 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coventry
1-2
AWAY Swansea City
1.65 xG 0.73
44% Ball Possession 56%
20 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
271 Passes 362
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Coventry vs Swansea City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swansea City squeezed past Coventry 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Coventry at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Coventry had 44% of the ball to Swansea City's 56%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 1.65 to 0.73 — on chances, Coventry could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swansea City led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Coventry and 1.83 for Swansea City.

What was the final score of Coventry vs Swansea City?

Coventry 1-2 Swansea City in the England - Championship on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coventry vs Swansea City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coventry win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Coventry 42%, draw 28%, Swansea City 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Coventry) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Coventry) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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