Sunderland vs Middlesbrough Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sunderland v Middlesbrough — Team-Based Signals
Sunderland vs Middlesbrough Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-4
HT 0-0
Middlesbrough
İNCL
2-0
HT 0-0
Middlesbrough
İNCL
1-0
HT 1-0
Sunderland
İNCL
3-3
HT 1-0
Middlesbrough
İNCL
2-0
HT 2-0
Sunderland
FAK
Sunderland 1-0 Middlesbrough — Actual Match Statistics
Sunderland squeezed past Middlesbrough 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Sunderland made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Sunderland had 37% of the ball to Middlesbrough's 63%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.17 to 1.28.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Middlesbrough led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sunderland and 1.83 for Middlesbrough.
What was the final score of Sunderland vs Middlesbrough?
Sunderland 1-0 Middlesbrough in the England - Championship on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sunderland vs Middlesbrough?
Before kick-off our model rated an Middlesbrough win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sunderland 34%, draw 29%, Middlesbrough 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Middlesbrough) went the other way.