Sheffield United vs Derby County Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sheffield United v Derby County — Team-Based Signals
Sheffield United vs Derby County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
Sheffield United
HAZ
2-0
HT 0-0
Sheffield United
İNCL
1-0
HT 0-0
Derby County
İNCL
2-1
HT 0-1
Derby County
İNLK
0-2
HT 0-1
Sheffield United
HAZ
3-1
HT 1-0
Derby County
İNCL
Sheffield United 1-0 Derby County — Actual Match Statistics
Sheffield United squeezed past Derby County 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Sheffield United as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Sheffield United had 61% of the ball to Derby County's 39%, shots finished 18-2, expected goals 1.10 to 0.05.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sheffield United had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sheffield United and 0.83 for Derby County.
What was the final score of Sheffield United vs Derby County?
Sheffield United 1-0 Derby County in the England - Championship on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sheffield United vs Derby County?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sheffield United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sheffield United 52%, draw 25%, Derby County 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sheffield United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.