Millwall 2-1 Queens Park Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.44
Over 2.5
34%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.29
No
62%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.96
2-3 Goals
33%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
6.25
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.04
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.45
X/1
15%
4.28
X/2
11%
7.0
X/X
18%
3.44
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
16%
6.37
2/X
6%
16.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-7.7pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.9pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
66%
+0.3pp
34%
Over 2.5
34%
-0.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.0pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millwall EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +22%
1.31/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.28
-3% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
322 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 71%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
22.5 Crosses 16.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millwall
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 0.85
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
257 Passes 379
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.09.2024 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-1 HT 1-1 Millwall Millwall İNCL
20.01.2024 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 2-0 HT 1-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
26.12.2023 Millwall Millwall 2-0 HT 1-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
11.02.2023 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-2 HT 0-1 Millwall Millwall İNCL
14.09.2022 Millwall Millwall 0-2 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
15.02.2022 Millwall Millwall 2-0 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millwall
2-1
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
0.68 xG 0.79
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 11
250 Passes 351
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Millwall vs Queens Park Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millwall nicked a narrow win over Queens Park Rangers 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and on the day Millwall made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Millwall had 43% of the ball to Queens Park Rangers's 57%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.68 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millwall had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Millwall and 1.00 for Queens Park Rangers.

What was the final score of Millwall vs Queens Park Rangers?

Millwall 2-1 Queens Park Rangers in the England - Championship on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millwall vs Queens Park Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millwall win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Millwall 37%, draw 31%, Queens Park Rangers 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millwall) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Millwall) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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