Aarau vs Bellinzona Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aarau v Bellinzona — Team-Based Signals
Aarau vs Bellinzona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-2
Bellinzona
İSV2
1-3
HT 0-1
Aarau
İSV2
Aarau 2-1 Bellinzona — Actual Match Statistics
Aarau squeezed past Bellinzona 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aarau as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, Aarau had 47% of the ball to Bellinzona's 53%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 1.86 to 1.45.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bellinzona led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Aarau and 2.17 for Bellinzona.
What was the final score of Aarau vs Bellinzona?
Aarau 2-1 Bellinzona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aarau vs Bellinzona?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Aarau 47%, draw 23%, Bellinzona 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarau), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.