Turan Tovuz 1-1 Sebail FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-9.5pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.9pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sebail FK EU Bookmakers 23%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.49/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.79
-12% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -23%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
469 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 170 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Turan Tovuz
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sebail FK
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
6 Corners 1
09.11.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 1-1 HT 1-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
30.08.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-0 HT 1-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
30.03.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 1-1 HT 1-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
26.01.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 3-1 HT 1-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
03.11.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 2-1 HT 0-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
26.08.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-3 HT 0-1 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
POST-MATCH Turan Tovuz vs Sebail FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Turan Tovuz and Sebail FK shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Turan Tovuz at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Turan Tovuz and 1.33 for Sebail FK.

What was the final score of Turan Tovuz vs Sebail FK?

Turan Tovuz 1-1 Sebail FK in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Turan Tovuz vs Sebail FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Turan Tovuz win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Turan Tovuz 43%, draw 32%, Sebail FK 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Turan Tovuz), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Turan Tovuz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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