Sebail FK 1-1 Turan Tovuz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
51%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.78
Over 2.5
56%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
26%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
51%
Away Win
47%
+3.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
52%
-8.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
48%
+8.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sebail FK EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 51%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+4% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
249 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sebail FK
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Turan Tovuz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1 Corners 6
30.08.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-0 HT 1-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
30.03.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 1-1 HT 1-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
26.01.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 3-1 HT 1-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
03.11.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 2-1 HT 0-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
26.08.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-3 HT 0-1 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
22.05.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-2 HT 1-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
POST-MATCH Sebail FK vs Turan Tovuz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sebail FK and Turan Tovuz couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Turan Tovuz at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sebail FK and 1.50 for Turan Tovuz.

What was the final score of Sebail FK vs Turan Tovuz?

Sebail FK 1-1 Turan Tovuz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sebail FK vs Turan Tovuz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Turan Tovuz win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sebail FK 24%, draw 25%, Turan Tovuz 51%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Turan Tovuz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
9 Nov 2024
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