Sabah 2-2 Kapaz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 9 Nov 2024

Sabah
2-2 HT 1-1
Kapaz
📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.34
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.07
Over 2.5
59%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
70%
-8.2pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.6pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+6.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sabah EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapaz EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
2.19/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.52
+0% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -19%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sabah
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Kapaz
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
7 Corners 3
31.08.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 2-3 HT 2-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
21.04.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 1-2 HT 0-2 Sabah Sabah AZERS
17.02.2024 Sabah Sabah 3-2 HT 1-1 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
18.12.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 3-4 HT 2-3 Sabah Sabah AZERK
03.12.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 0-2 HT 0-2 Sabah Sabah AZERS
24.09.2023 Sabah Sabah 2-2 HT 1-1 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
POST-MATCH Sabah vs Kapaz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabah and Kapaz couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sabah at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sabah had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Sabah and 1.67 for Kapaz.

What was the final score of Sabah vs Kapaz?

Sabah 2-2 Kapaz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sabah vs Kapaz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Sabah 62%, draw 20%, Kapaz 18%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Sabah), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sabah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
9 Nov 2024
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