Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Athletic Bilbao v Real Sociedad — Team-Based Signals
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Real Sociedad — Actual Match Statistics
Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Athletic Bilbao at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, Athletic Bilbao had 55% of the ball to Real Sociedad's 45%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 0.97 to 1.66.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Athletic Bilbao and 1.17 for Real Sociedad.
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Result & Final Score
Athletic Bilbao 1 - 1 Real Sociedad in the Spain - Primera Liga on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao 43%, draw 31%, Real Sociedad 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) went the other way.