Real Sociedad 0-0 Athletic Bilbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 4 May 2025

Real Sociedad
0-0 HT 0-0
Athletic Bilbao
📅04/05/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.17
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
5.49
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.71
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.95
X/1
18%
5.12
X/2
11%
6.15
X/X
12%
3.52
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
18%
4.92
2/X
9%
14.35
Value flag · 1/X at 13.95 — our 10% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 62% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-3.5pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.7pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.0pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Sociedad v Athletic Bilbao — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Bilbao EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.11/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.24
-24% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
307 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
20.3 Crosses 19.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Athletic Bilbao
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.32 xG 1.18
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
336 Passes 266
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.11.2024 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
13.01.2024 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 2-1 HT 2-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
30.09.2023 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3-0 HT 1-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
15.04.2023 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 2-0 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
14.01.2023 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3-1 HT 2-1 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
05.08.2022 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad HAZ

Real Sociedad 0-0 Athletic Bilbao — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad
0-0
AWAY Athletic Bilbao
0.92 xG 0.24
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
407 Passes 260
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad and Athletic Bilbao played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Real Sociedad had 59% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao's 41%, shots finished 12-3, expected goals 0.92 to 0.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Real Sociedad and 1.17 for Athletic Bilbao.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao?

Real Sociedad 0-0 Athletic Bilbao in the Spain - Primera Liga on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad 35%, draw 31%, Athletic Bilbao 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Real Sociedad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Sociedad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS1 More Spain - Primera Liga
4 May 2025
15:00 Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo Analysis →
17:15 Sevilla vs Leganes Analysis →
19:30 Espanyol vs Real Betis Analysis →