Espanyol 1-2 Real Betis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 4 May 2025

Espanyol
1-2 HT 1-0
Real Betis
📅04/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Espanyol vs Real Betis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.95
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.8
6+ Goals
8%
16.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.92
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
12.55
X/1
10%
6.91
X/2
15%
5.38
X/X
11%
4.11
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
23%
3.3
2/X
5%
12.0
Value flag · 1/X at 12.55 — our 11% vs market 5.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.1pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.4pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+3.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Espanyol v Real Betis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Espanyol EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Betis EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +18%
1.19/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.29
+9% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
277 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
19.8 Crosses 14.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Espanyol vs Real Betis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Espanyol
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Real Betis
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.21 xG 1.72
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
256 Passes 444
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 34
21 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.09.2024 Real Betis Real Betis 1-0 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
15.04.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 3-1 HT 2-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
21.01.2023 Espanyol Espanyol 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
21.01.2022 Espanyol Espanyol 1-4 HT 1-2 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
19.09.2021 Real Betis Real Betis 2-2 HT 2-1 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
25.06.2020 Real Betis Real Betis 1-0 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1

Espanyol 1-2 Real Betis — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Espanyol
1-2
AWAY Real Betis
1.22 xG 1.14
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 7
274 Passes 497
84% Pass Accuracy 89%
19 Box Touches 47
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Espanyol vs Real Betis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Betis edged past Espanyol 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Betis as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Espanyol had 37% of the ball to Real Betis's 63%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 1.22 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Betis led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Espanyol and 1.83 for Real Betis.

What was the final score of Espanyol vs Real Betis?

Espanyol 1-2 Real Betis in the Spain - Primera Liga on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Espanyol vs Real Betis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Betis win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Espanyol 30%, draw 27%, Real Betis 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Betis) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Betis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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