Sevilla vs Leganes Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sevilla v Leganes — Team-Based Signals
Sevilla vs Leganes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Sevilla
İSPK
0-3
HT 0-2
Sevilla
İS1
1-0
HT 0-0
Leganes
İS1
0-3
HT 0-2
Leganes
İS1
1-1
HT 1-0
Sevilla
İS1
Sevilla 2-2 Leganes — Actual Match Statistics
Sevilla and Leganes shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Sevilla at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sevilla had 57% of the ball to Leganes's 43%, shots finished 25-9, expected goals 2.73 to 0.63.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sevilla had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sevilla and 0.83 for Leganes.
What was the final score of Sevilla vs Leganes?
Sevilla 2-2 Leganes in the Spain - Primera Liga on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sevilla vs Leganes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sevilla 47%, draw 27%, Leganes 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.