Sunderland U21 1-1 Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.46
Over 2.5
62%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.31
No
40%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
25%
+12.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
75%
-12.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
72%
-11.9pp
40%
BTTS No
28%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunderland U21 EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 18.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sunderland U21
1-1
AWAY Brighton & Hove Alb. U21
0.65 xG 1.15
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
383 Passes 290
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
13 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sunderland U21 vs Brighton & Hove Alb. U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunderland U21 and Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Sunderland U21 had 55% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Alb. U21's 45%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.65 to 1.15.

What was the final score of Sunderland U21 vs Brighton & Hove Alb. U21?

Sunderland U21 1-1 Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunderland U21 vs Brighton & Hove Alb. U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sunderland U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sunderland U21 39%, draw 24%, Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sunderland U21), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sunderland U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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