Dagenham & Redbridge 1-3 Boston United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.72
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
3.83
6+ Goals
7%
17.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 34% vs market 29.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.0
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
11%
4.7
X/2
15%
6.69
X/X
15%
4.38
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
12%
5.14
2/X
6%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.1pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston United EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.57/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/0.67
+4% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +108%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
122 · 91% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 107 · 91%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Boston United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
1 Passes 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2024 Boston United Boston United 1-1 HT 1-1 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
POST-MATCH Dagenham & Redbridge vs Boston United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boston United beat Dagenham & Redbridge 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Boston United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Dagenham & Redbridge vs Boston United?

Dagenham & Redbridge 1-3 Boston United in the England - National League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dagenham & Redbridge vs Boston United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dagenham & Redbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dagenham & Redbridge 40%, draw 27%, Boston United 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dagenham & Redbridge) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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