Aarau 3-0 FC Schaffhausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.45
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
29%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
1.95
Over Pick
56%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.35
2-3
40%
1.75
4-5
26%
3.21
6+
9%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
51%
Home Win
64%
-13.5pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.2pp
29%
Away Win
14%
+14.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarau The Market 69%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Schaffhausen The Market 18%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.99/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.69
-14% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
18.7 Crosses 13.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarau
1W-3D-2L
AWAY FC Schaffhausen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.97 xG 1.39
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
400 Passes 231
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.10.2024 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 0-3 HT 0-3 Aarau Aarau İSV2
23.09.2024 Aarau Aarau 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
06.04.2024 Aarau Aarau 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
08.03.2024 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 1-1 HT 1-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
27.10.2023 Aarau Aarau 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
25.08.2023 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 2-2 HT 1-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aarau
3-0
AWAY FC Schaffhausen
2.08 xG 0.69
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
342 Passes 292
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 14
8 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aarau vs FC Schaffhausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarau cruised past FC Schaffhausen 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aarau as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Aarau had 52% of the ball to FC Schaffhausen's 48%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 2.08 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Schaffhausen led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aarau and 1.33 for FC Schaffhausen.

What was the final score of Aarau vs FC Schaffhausen?

Aarau 3-0 FC Schaffhausen in the Switzerland Challenge League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarau vs FC Schaffhausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Aarau 51%, draw 20%, FC Schaffhausen 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarau), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aarau) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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