Juve Stabia 0-1 Cittadella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.76
Draw
20%
3.11
Away
28%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.54
Over 2.5
50%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.32
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
4.82
6+ Goals
7%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
2.28
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
10%
4.22
X/2
7%
10.3
X/X
9%
3.76
2/1
5%
31.0
2/2
17%
9.28
2/X
5%
16.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-1.8pp
20%
Draw
29%
-8.8pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
61%
-11.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
39%
+11.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.7pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juve Stabia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cittadella EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.65/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.57
-3% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +0%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
Crosses 21.2
Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juve Stabia
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cittadella
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.28 xG 2.48
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
231 Passes 261
67% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 38
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 4
30.11.2024 Cittadella Cittadella 2-2 HT 2-2 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
22.02.2020 Cittadella Cittadella 3-0 HT 1-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
28.09.2019 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 0-1 HT 0-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
22.02.2014 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1-1 HT 0-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
21.09.2013 Cittadella Cittadella 0-2 HT 0-1 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
20.04.2013 Cittadella Cittadella 1-0 HT 0-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juve Stabia
0-1
AWAY Cittadella
1.13 xG 0.84
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
268 Passes 153
73% Pass Accuracy 58%
28 Box Touches 17
36 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Juve Stabia vs Cittadella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cittadella squeezed past Juve Stabia 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Juve Stabia at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Juve Stabia had 59% of the ball to Cittadella's 41%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.13 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cittadella led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Juve Stabia and 1.33 for Cittadella.

What was the final score of Juve Stabia vs Cittadella?

Juve Stabia 0-1 Cittadella in the Italy - Serie B on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juve Stabia vs Cittadella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juve Stabia win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Juve Stabia 51%, draw 20%, Cittadella 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Juve Stabia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Juve Stabia) ✓ BTTS No
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