Sassuolo 1-0 Pisa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
24%
2.88
Away
36%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.62
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
4.18
6+ Goals
9%
20.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.08
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.0
X/1
14%
5.06
X/2
11%
7.3
X/X
13%
3.76
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
17%
5.53
2/X
6%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.3pp
24%
Draw
31%
-7.1pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+9.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Pisa EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.42/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.30
-7% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
269 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 72%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
18.3 Crosses 19.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Pisa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.35 xG 1.65
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
406 Passes 150
82% Pass Accuracy 63%
26 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
26.12.2024 Pisa Pisa 3-1 HT 2-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTB
31.01.2009 Pisa Pisa 0-0 HT 0-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTB
16.09.2008 Sassuolo Sassuolo 3-1 HT 2-1 Pisa Pisa İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo
1-0
AWAY Pisa
0.90 xG 1.09
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 10
252 Passes 318
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sassuolo vs Pisa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo squeezed past Pisa 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and on the day Sassuolo made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sassuolo had 46% of the ball to Pisa's 54%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.90 to 1.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sassuolo and 1.33 for Pisa.

What was the final score of Sassuolo vs Pisa?

Sassuolo 1-0 Pisa in the Italy - Serie B on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo vs Pisa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassuolo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo 40%, draw 24%, Pisa 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sassuolo) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
1 Mar 2025
17:00 Carrarese vs Cremonese Analysis →
17:00 Frosinone vs Mantova Analysis →
17:00 Juve Stabia vs Cittadella Analysis →
17:00 Cesena vs Salernitana Analysis →