Carrarese 2-2 Cremonese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.92
6+ Goals
8%
18.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 33% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.08
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
11%
7.77
X/2
15%
4.69
X/X
17%
4.13
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.75
2/X
5%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+4.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-5.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.5pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrarese EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Cremonese EU Bookmakers 50%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -6%
1.16/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.00
-34% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +29%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
254 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 79%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
20.7 Crosses 20.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrarese
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Cremonese
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.04 xG 1.54
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
247 Passes 452
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2024 Cremonese Cremonese 1-0 HT 0-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTB
06.04.2014 Carrarese Carrarese 1-0 HT 0-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carrarese
2-2
AWAY Cremonese
1.16 xG 1.84
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 7
173 Passes 408
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 31
8 Crosses 31
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Carrarese vs Cremonese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrarese and Cremonese shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Cremonese at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Carrarese had 33% of the ball to Cremonese's 67%, shots finished 6-19, expected goals 1.16 to 1.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Carrarese and 0.50 for Cremonese.

What was the final score of Carrarese vs Cremonese?

Carrarese 2-2 Cremonese in the Italy - Serie B on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrarese vs Cremonese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Carrarese 30%, draw 29%, Cremonese 41%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cremonese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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