Cesena 2-0 Salernitana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.25
Draw
25%
2.88
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.44
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.54
6+ Goals
8%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.33
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
11%
12.35
X/1
17%
5.14
X/2
11%
6.79
X/X
9%
3.63
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
12%
5.18
2/X
6%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
41%
+6.2pp
26%
Draw
31%
-5.6pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesena EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Salernitana EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -13%
1.06/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.20
+9% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
19.4 Crosses 18.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cesena
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Salernitana
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.30 xG 0.71
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
454 Passes 276
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.10.2024 Salernitana Salernitana 1-1 HT 1-1 Cesena Cesena İTB
14.04.2018 Salernitana Salernitana 1-1 HT 0-1 Cesena Cesena İTB
12.11.2017 Cesena Cesena 3-3 HT 2-1 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
18.02.2017 Salernitana Salernitana 1-1 HT 1-1 Cesena Cesena İTB
19.09.2016 Cesena Cesena 0-0 HT 0-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
07.03.2016 Cesena Cesena 1-2 HT 1-1 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesena
2-0
AWAY Salernitana
1.11 xG 1.74
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
317 Passes 303
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cesena vs Salernitana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cesena got the better of Salernitana 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cesena as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Cesena had 52% of the ball to Salernitana's 48%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.11 to 1.74 — the balance of chances actually favoured Salernitana.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salernitana led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cesena and 1.33 for Salernitana.

What was the final score of Cesena vs Salernitana?

Cesena 2-0 Salernitana in the Italy - Serie B on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cesena vs Salernitana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cesena win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cesena 47%, draw 26%, Salernitana 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cesena), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cesena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
1 Mar 2025
17:00 Carrarese vs Cremonese Analysis →
17:00 Frosinone vs Mantova Analysis →
17:00 Juve Stabia vs Cittadella Analysis →
19:15 Sassuolo vs Pisa Analysis →