Frosinone 2-1 Mantova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 1 Mar 2025

Frosinone
2-1 HT 2-1
Mantova
📅01/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Frosinone vs Mantova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.39
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.67
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.98
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
13%
4.72
X/2
13%
7.31
X/X
16%
3.7
2/1
5%
31.0
2/2
11%
5.93
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-6.5pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.3pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.7pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Frosinone v Mantova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frosinone EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Mantova EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.34/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.30
-15% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
23.9 Crosses 13.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0

Frosinone vs Mantova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frosinone
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Mantova
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.93 xG 1.56
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 1
381 Passes 270
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 18
36 Crosses 7
5 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
21.12.2024 Mantova Mantova 3-1 HT 3-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
23.01.2010 Mantova Mantova 3-1 HT 1-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
29.08.2009 Frosinone Frosinone 1-0 HT 0-0 Mantova Mantova İTB
24.01.2009 Frosinone Frosinone 1-2 HT 1-1 Mantova Mantova İTB
30.08.2008 Mantova Mantova 2-0 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
19.04.2008 Frosinone Frosinone 2-1 HT 1-1 Mantova Mantova İTB

Frosinone 2-1 Mantova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Frosinone
2-1
AWAY Mantova
1.74 xG 1.92
32% Ball Possession 68%
11 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 9
199 Passes 470
80% Pass Accuracy 91%
19 Box Touches 37
13 Crosses 43
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Frosinone vs Mantova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frosinone squeezed past Mantova 2-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 31%) promised a tight game; Frosinone found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Frosinone had 32% of the ball to Mantova's 68%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 1.74 to 1.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mantova led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Frosinone and 1.83 for Mantova.

What was the final score of Frosinone vs Mantova?

Frosinone 2-1 Mantova in the Italy - Serie B on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frosinone vs Mantova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Frosinone win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Frosinone 37%, draw 32%, Mantova 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Frosinone) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Frosinone) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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