Mantova vs Frosinone Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mantova v Frosinone — Team-Based Signals
Mantova vs Frosinone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Frosinone
İTB
1-0
HT 0-0
Mantova
İTB
1-2
HT 1-1
Mantova
İTB
2-0
HT 0-0
Frosinone
İTB
2-1
HT 1-1
Mantova
İTB
3-2
HT 1-1
Frosinone
İTB
Mantova 3-1 Frosinone — Actual Match Statistics
Mantova saw off Frosinone 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mantova as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mantova had 41% of the ball to Frosinone's 59%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.56 to 0.93.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mantova had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mantova and 1.17 for Frosinone.
What was the final score of Mantova vs Frosinone?
Mantova 3-1 Frosinone in the Italy - Serie B on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mantova vs Frosinone?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mantova win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mantova 41%, draw 25%, Frosinone 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mantova) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.