Carrarese 1-0 Cosenza Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.39
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.68
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.23
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
10%
12.95
X/1
13%
4.83
X/2
9%
6.97
X/X
12%
3.61
2/1
10%
32.5
2/2
13%
5.47
2/X
6%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.1pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.6pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrarese EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 30%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +20%
0.92/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.42
+0% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
14.6 Crosses 19.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carrarese
1-0
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
1.51 xG 0.48
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
379 Passes 167
84% Pass Accuracy 68%
29 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Carrarese vs Cosenza Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrarese edged past Cosenza Calcio 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Carrarese as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Carrarese had 65% of the ball to Cosenza Calcio's 35%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.51 to 0.48.

What was the final score of Carrarese vs Cosenza Calcio?

Carrarese 1-0 Cosenza Calcio in the Italy - Serie B on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrarese vs Cosenza Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrarese win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Carrarese 42%, draw 28%, Cosenza Calcio 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carrarese), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carrarese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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