Cittadella 3-1 Reggiana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.34
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.79
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.29
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
11%
5.76
X/2
13%
5.46
X/X
15%
3.59
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.96
2/X
9%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.0pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.3pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cittadella EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Reggiana EU Bookmakers 38%
-9% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.14/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.95
-22% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
265 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
23.9 Crosses 15.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cittadella
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Reggiana
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.83 xG 1.94
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
270 Passes 309
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 21
29 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Reggiana Reggiana 0-2 HT 0-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
20.08.2023 Cittadella Cittadella 1-0 HT 1-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
20.02.2021 Cittadella Cittadella 0-3 HT 0-2 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
09.01.2021 Reggiana Reggiana 0-2 HT 0-1 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cittadella
3-1
AWAY Reggiana
0.42 xG 1.04
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
235 Passes 249
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cittadella vs Reggiana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cittadella got the better of Reggiana 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Cittadella found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cittadella had 49% of the ball to Reggiana's 51%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.42 to 1.04 — on chances, Reggiana could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cittadella had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Cittadella and 0.75 for Reggiana.

What was the final score of Cittadella vs Reggiana?

Cittadella 3-1 Reggiana in the Italy - Serie B on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cittadella vs Reggiana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Reggiana win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cittadella 34%, draw 30%, Reggiana 36%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Reggiana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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