FC Bari 1908 0-1 Südtirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.54
Over 2.5
35%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.31
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.88
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.88
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.2
X/1
17%
4.33
X/2
9%
7.51
X/X
14%
3.75
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
12%
6.31
2/X
9%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.5pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.2pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
61%
+3.9pp
35%
Over 2.5
39%
-3.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Südtirol EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +6%
1.24/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.05
-13% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +46%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
22.5 Crosses 16.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Bari 1908
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Südtirol
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.88 xG 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
430 Passes 295
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Südtirol Südtirol 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
09.12.2023 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-1 HT 1-1 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
02.06.2023 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-0 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
29.05.2023 Südtirol Südtirol 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
10.04.2023 Südtirol Südtirol 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
12.11.2022 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-2 HT 1-2 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Bari 1908
0-1
AWAY Südtirol
0.50 xG 2.48
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
287 Passes 130
77% Pass Accuracy 57%
18 Box Touches 37
27 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Bari 1908 vs Südtirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Südtirol edged past FC Bari 1908 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 33% / 28%) promised a tight game; Südtirol found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FC Bari 1908 had 62% of the ball to Südtirol's 38%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 0.50 to 2.48 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Südtirol's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Bari 1908 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Bari 1908 and 0.83 for Südtirol.

What was the final score of FC Bari 1908 vs Südtirol?

FC Bari 1908 0-1 Südtirol in the Italy - Serie B on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Bari 1908 vs Südtirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Bari 1908 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Bari 1908 40%, draw 33%, Südtirol 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FC Bari 1908) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Bari 1908) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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