Modena 1-0 Pisa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 21 Dec 2024

Modena
1-0 HT 0-0
Pisa
📅21/12/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.33
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.81
6+ Goals
10%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.65
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
12%
5.22
X/2
11%
6.31
X/X
14%
3.51
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
13%
4.8
2/X
8%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.0pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.9pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Modena EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Pisa EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +1%
1.24/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.30
-7% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
261 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 73%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
21.0 Crosses 19.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Modena
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Pisa
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.24 xG 1.29
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
295 Passes 312
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2024 Pisa Pisa 2-2 HT 1-0 Modena Modena İTB
02.09.2023 Modena Modena 2-0 HT 1-0 Pisa Pisa İTB
11.03.2023 Modena Modena 1-0 HT 1-0 Pisa Pisa İTB
23.10.2022 Pisa Pisa 4-2 HT 1-1 Modena Modena İTB
07.02.2009 Modena Modena 3-3 HT 2-3 Pisa Pisa İTB
13.09.2008 Pisa Pisa 1-0 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Modena
1-0
AWAY Pisa
0.67 xG 1.10
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
302 Passes 316
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 32
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Modena vs Pisa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Modena edged past Pisa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Modena made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Modena had 50% of the ball to Pisa's 50%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.67 to 1.10 — the balance of chances actually favoured Pisa.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Modena and 1.67 for Pisa.

What was the final score of Modena vs Pisa?

Modena 1-0 Pisa in the Italy - Serie B on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Modena vs Pisa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Modena 35%, draw 30%, Pisa 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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