Gagra 1-2 Torpedo Kutaisi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.04
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
49%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+5.9pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
49%
Away Win
54%
-4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.2pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gagra EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi EU Bookmakers 57%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.84/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.26
-27% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -16%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
269 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gagra
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.11.2024 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 2-0 HT 1-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
22.09.2024 Gagra Gagra 0-3 HT 0-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
24.05.2024 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 2-1 HT 0-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
07.04.2024 Gagra Gagra 0-1 HT 0-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
29.10.2023 Gagra Gagra 1-2 HT 1-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
20.08.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 4-1 HT 2-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gagra
1-2
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Kutaisi nicked a narrow win over Gagra 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Torpedo Kutaisi as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Gagra had 48% of the ball to Torpedo Kutaisi's 52%, shots finished 12-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Kutaisi led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gagra and 2.33 for Torpedo Kutaisi.

What was the final score of Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Gagra 1-2 Torpedo Kutaisi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torpedo Kutaisi win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Gagra 28%, draw 23%, Torpedo Kutaisi 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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