San Carlos 1-0 Municipal Liberia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.6pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Carlos EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
0.98/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.50
-31% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Carlos
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Municipal Liberia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.11.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-2 HT 1-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
28.07.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 1-2 HT 0-2 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
25.04.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 3-3 HT 1-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
14.01.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 3-2 HT 1-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
27.11.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-1 HT 0-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
21.09.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 2-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
POST-MATCH San Carlos vs Municipal Liberia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Carlos edged past Municipal Liberia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; San Carlos found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Carlos had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for San Carlos and 1.50 for Municipal Liberia.

What was the final score of San Carlos vs Municipal Liberia?

San Carlos 1-0 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Carlos vs Municipal Liberia?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Carlos win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split San Carlos 36%, draw 29%, Municipal Liberia 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Carlos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Carlos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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