Banga Gargzdai 2-0 Hegelmann Litauen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
36%
3.28
Away
38%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
7%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-0.7pp
36%
Draw
27%
+9.1pp
38%
Away Win
46%
-8.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.4pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 50%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.95/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/2.05
+34% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -36%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
245 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banga Gargzdai
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-1 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
16.08.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 3-0 HT 1-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
12.07.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-4 HT 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
21.04.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-2 HT 1-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
29.09.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-0 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
25.07.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-3 HT 0-2 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
POST-MATCH Banga Gargzdai vs Hegelmann Litauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banga Gargzdai got the better of Hegelmann Litauen 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 26% / 36% / 38% — and on the day Banga Gargzdai made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Banga Gargzdai and 2.33 for Hegelmann Litauen.

What was the final score of Banga Gargzdai vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Banga Gargzdai 2-0 Hegelmann Litauen in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banga Gargzdai vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Banga Gargzdai 26%, draw 36%, Hegelmann Litauen 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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