Diosgyor 2-1 Puskas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
38%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
11.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+7.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
38%
Away Win
47%
-8.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.0pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 51%
+17% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +4%
1.54/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.16
+42% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +21%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
297 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
15.1 Crosses 24.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diosgyor
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Puskas FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.83 xG 1.45
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
370 Passes 332
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
02.03.2024 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-1 HT 0-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
04.11.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
29.07.2023 Diosgyor Diosgyor 0-1 HT 0-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
21.04.2021 Diosgyor Diosgyor 2-1 HT 1-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
03.02.2021 Puskas FC Puskas FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Diosgyor
2-1
AWAY Puskas FC
0.78 xG 1.27
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 11
317 Passes 272
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Diosgyor vs Puskas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diosgyor nicked a narrow win over Puskas FC 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Diosgyor found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Diosgyor had 53% of the ball to Puskas FC's 47%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.78 to 1.27 — on chances, Puskas FC could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Puskas FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Diosgyor and 1.00 for Puskas FC.

What was the final score of Diosgyor vs Puskas FC?

Diosgyor 2-1 Puskas FC in the Hungary - NB I on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diosgyor vs Puskas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Puskas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Diosgyor 35%, draw 27%, Puskas FC 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Puskas FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Puskas FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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