Puskas FC 1-1 Diosgyor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.41
6+ Goals
11%
12.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
67%
-8.4pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.9pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+6.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.3pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 15%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
2.01/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.56
-6% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
366 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 79%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
26.6 Crosses 15.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puskas FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Diosgyor
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 0.84
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
307 Passes 416
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-1 HT 0-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
04.11.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
29.07.2023 Diosgyor Diosgyor 0-1 HT 0-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
21.04.2021 Diosgyor Diosgyor 2-1 HT 1-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
03.02.2021 Puskas FC Puskas FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
25.10.2020 Diosgyor Diosgyor 3-0 HT 3-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puskas FC
1-1
AWAY Diosgyor
2.27 xG 0.78
62% Ball Possession 38%
26 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
406 Passes 231
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
43 Box Touches 8
29 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Puskas FC vs Diosgyor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puskas FC and Diosgyor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Puskas FC carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Puskas FC had 62% of the ball to Diosgyor's 38%, shots finished 26-3, expected goals 2.27 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Puskas FC and 1.00 for Diosgyor.

What was the final score of Puskas FC vs Diosgyor?

Puskas FC 1-1 Diosgyor in the Hungary - NB I on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puskas FC vs Diosgyor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puskas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Puskas FC 58%, draw 23%, Diosgyor 19%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Puskas FC) ✗ Over 2.5
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