MOL Fehervar 2-0 Debrecen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 26 Oct 2024

MOL Fehervar
2-0 HT 1-0
Debrecen
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2024/2025

MOL Fehervar vs Debrecen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.56
No
52%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.13
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.13 — our 28% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.2pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

MOL Fehervar v Debrecen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MOL Fehervar EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Debrecen EU Bookmakers 33%
+5% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +4%
1.76/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.81
+9% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
23.9 Crosses 16.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1

MOL Fehervar vs Debrecen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MOL Fehervar
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Debrecen
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.09 xG 1.93
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
282 Passes 424
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
12.05.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 1-0 HT 0-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
18.02.2024 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 1-0 HT 1-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
22.10.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 3-1 HT 2-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
30.04.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 2-0 HT 0-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
04.02.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 1-1 HT 0-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
03.09.2022 Debrecen Debrecen 1-0 HT 1-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC

MOL Fehervar 2-0 Debrecen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MOL Fehervar
2-0
AWAY Debrecen
1.37 xG 0.87
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
321 Passes 319
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH MOL Fehervar vs Debrecen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MOL Fehervar got the better of Debrecen 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had MOL Fehervar as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, MOL Fehervar had 51% of the ball to Debrecen's 49%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.37 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Debrecen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for MOL Fehervar and 1.33 for Debrecen.

What was the final score of MOL Fehervar vs Debrecen?

MOL Fehervar 2-0 Debrecen in the Hungary - NB I on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MOL Fehervar vs Debrecen?

Before kick-off our model rated a MOL Fehervar win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split MOL Fehervar 44%, draw 26%, Debrecen 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MOL Fehervar), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (MOL Fehervar) ✓ BTTS No
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