MTK Budapest 4-1 Ujpest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ujpest EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
1.52/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.51
-18% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
14.9 Crosses 21.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MTK Budapest
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Ujpest
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.81 xG 1.55
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
342 Passes 438
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 1-2 HT 1-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
02.02.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 3-0 HT 2-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
23.09.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 0-2 HT 0-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
03.04.2022 Ujpest Ujpest 2-0 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
05.12.2021 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 2-1 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
22.08.2021 Ujpest Ujpest 1-2 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MTK Budapest
4-1
AWAY Ujpest
2.34 xG 1.39
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
332 Passes 412
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH MTK Budapest vs Ujpest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MTK Budapest ran out comfortable winners over Ujpest 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; MTK Budapest found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, MTK Budapest had 46% of the ball to Ujpest's 54%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 2.34 to 1.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MTK Budapest had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for MTK Budapest and 0.83 for Ujpest.

What was the final score of MTK Budapest vs Ujpest?

MTK Budapest 4-1 Ujpest in the Hungary - NB I on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MTK Budapest vs Ujpest?

Before kick-off our model rated a MTK Budapest win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split MTK Budapest 40%, draw 25%, Ujpest 35%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MTK Budapest), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (MTK Budapest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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