Universitatea Craiova 1-0 SSC Farul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.76
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
2.97
6+ Goals
10%
9.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 28% vs market 20.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-11.1pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.3pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY SSC Farul EU Bookmakers 20%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.89/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.82
+3% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -8%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
350 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 74%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
16.9 Crosses 9.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitatea Craiova
1W-1D-4L
AWAY SSC Farul
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.33 xG 1.65
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 3
427 Passes 139
85% Pass Accuracy 64%
46 Box Touches 7
39 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
28.10.2024 SSC Farul SSC Farul 3-2 HT 2-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
13.05.2024 SSC Farul SSC Farul 3-3 HT 1-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
12.04.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-2 HT 1-2 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
21.01.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-2 HT 1-2 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
05.12.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 4-0 HT 1-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROMK
27.08.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 2-0 HT 2-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitatea Craiova
1-0
AWAY SSC Farul
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 1
5 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Universitatea Craiova vs SSC Farul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitatea Craiova squeezed past SSC Farul 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Universitatea Craiova as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Universitatea Craiova had 50% of the ball to SSC Farul's 50%, shots finished 17-1.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SSC Farul led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Universitatea Craiova and 2.00 for SSC Farul.

What was the final score of Universitatea Craiova vs SSC Farul?

Universitatea Craiova 1-0 SSC Farul in the Romania - 1st Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitatea Craiova vs SSC Farul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Universitatea Craiova 51%, draw 25%, SSC Farul 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitatea Craiova), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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