Brommapojkarna 4-1 Falkenbergs FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.03
Over Pick
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
23%
3.69
2-3
42%
1.77
4-5
25%
2.98
6+
10%
9.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.1pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.9pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.0pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brommapojkarna EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkenbergs FF EU Bookmakers 25%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.05/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.07/0.93
-47% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -94% / +95%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
361 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brommapojkarna
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Falkenbergs FF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 7
27.08.2017 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 1-5 HT 0-2 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF İSÇ2
13.05.2017 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF 2-1 HT 0-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ2
10.08.2014 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 2-3 HT 1-1 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF İSÇ
05.04.2014 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF 1-0 HT 1-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
04.08.2012 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF 3-1 HT 2-1 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ2
15.04.2012 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 1-0 HT 0-0 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brommapojkarna
4-1
AWAY Falkenbergs FF
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brommapojkarna vs Falkenbergs FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brommapojkarna cruised past Falkenbergs FF 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Brommapojkarna as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Brommapojkarna had 48% of the ball to Falkenbergs FF's 52%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Falkenbergs FF led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Brommapojkarna and 2.33 for Falkenbergs FF.

What was the final score of Brommapojkarna vs Falkenbergs FF?

Brommapojkarna 4-1 Falkenbergs FF in the Sweden - Cup on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brommapojkarna vs Falkenbergs FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brommapojkarna win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Brommapojkarna 50%, draw 21%, Falkenbergs FF 29%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brommapojkarna), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brommapojkarna) ✓ Over 2.5
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