Halmstad 1-0 Varbergs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.86
Over
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.07
2-3
43%
1.72
4-5
18%
3.4
6+
9%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.07 — our 30% vs market 25.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Halmstad EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Varbergs EU Bookmakers 26%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
1.65/0.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/2.70
+2% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Halmstad
1-0
AWAY Varbergs
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Halmstad vs Varbergs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Halmstad squeezed past Varbergs 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Halmstad as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Halmstad had 57% of the ball to Varbergs's 43%, shots finished 14-10.

What was the final score of Halmstad vs Varbergs?

Halmstad 1-0 Varbergs in the Sweden - Cup on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Halmstad vs Varbergs?

Before kick-off our model rated a Halmstad win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Halmstad 49%, draw 27%, Varbergs 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Halmstad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Halmstad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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