IK Sirius 4-1 Helsingborgs IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 1 Mar 2026

IK Sirius
4-1 HT 3-0
Helsingborgs IF
📅01/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Sweden - Cup – 2025/2026

IK Sirius vs Helsingborgs IF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
58%
1.3
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
22%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.96
Over
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
25%
6.15
2-3
37%
2.06
4-5
28%
2.39
6+
10%
4.81
Value flag · 0-1 at 6.15 — our 25% vs market 10.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
IK Sirius win — 58% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
72%
-14.2pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.7pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+10.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.7pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IK Sirius v Helsingborgs IF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Helsingborgs IF EU Bookmakers 14%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
3.59/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/2.58
+55% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
449 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.0

IK Sirius vs Helsingborgs IF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Sirius
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Helsingborgs IF
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.23 xG 0.61
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
448 Passes 369
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.02.2025 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-1 HT 0-0 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇK
13.08.2022 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 0-0 HT 0-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
17.04.2022 IK Sirius IK Sirius 1-0 HT 1-0 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ
17.08.2020 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 1-2 HT 1-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
13.08.2020 IK Sirius IK Sirius 3-1 HT 2-0 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ
05.10.2019 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-1 HT 1-0 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ

IK Sirius 4-1 Helsingborgs IF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Sirius
4-1
AWAY Helsingborgs IF
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 5
POST-MATCH IK Sirius vs Helsingborgs IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Sirius swept aside Helsingborgs IF 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had IK Sirius as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, IK Sirius had 63% of the ball to Helsingborgs IF's 37%, shots finished 20-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, IK Sirius had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for IK Sirius and 0.67 for Helsingborgs IF.

What was the final score of IK Sirius vs Helsingborgs IF?

IK Sirius 4-1 Helsingborgs IF in the Sweden - Cup on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Sirius vs Helsingborgs IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Sirius win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split IK Sirius 58%, draw 20%, Helsingborgs IF 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IK Sirius), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (IK Sirius) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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