IFK Varnamo vs Kalmar Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
IFK Varnamo v Kalmar — Team-Based Signals
IFK Varnamo vs Kalmar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
IFK Varnamo
İSÇ
0-1
HT 0-0
Kalmar
İSÇ
1-3
HT 1-1
Kalmar
İSÇ
1-0
HT 1-0
IFK Varnamo
İSÇ
IFK Varnamo 1-2 Kalmar — Actual Match Statistics
Kalmar edged past IFK Varnamo 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Kalmar as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, IFK Varnamo had 47% of the ball to Kalmar's 53%, shots finished 8-9.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kalmar led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for IFK Varnamo and 1.83 for Kalmar.
What was the final score of IFK Varnamo vs Kalmar?
IFK Varnamo 1-2 Kalmar in the Sweden - Cup on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for IFK Varnamo vs Kalmar?
Before kick-off our model rated an Kalmar win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split IFK Varnamo 31%, draw 28%, Kalmar 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kalmar), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.