IF Karlstad 0-4 Malmö FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
9.57
Draw
12%
5.28
Away Pick
77%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.29
Over
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
23%
4.29
2-3
42%
1.83
4-5
24%
2.74
6+
11%
7.67
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.29 — our 23% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
26%
X/X
5%
2/1
2%
2/2
41%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Malmö FF win — 77%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
8%
+3.7pp
12%
Draw
16%
-3.7pp
77%
Away Win
77%
+0.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IF Karlstad EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 81%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.30/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.59/0.39
-53% / +103% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +63%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
209 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 499 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IF Karlstad
0-4
AWAY Malmö FF
35% Ball Possession 65%
4 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH IF Karlstad vs Malmö FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malmö FF swept aside IF Karlstad 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Malmö FF as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, IF Karlstad had 35% of the ball to Malmö FF's 65%, shots finished 4-9.

What was the final score of IF Karlstad vs Malmö FF?

IF Karlstad 0-4 Malmö FF in the Sweden - Cup on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IF Karlstad vs Malmö FF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split IF Karlstad 11%, draw 12%, Malmö FF 77%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malmö FF), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇK More Sweden - Cup
1 Mar 2026
15:00 IFK Varnamo vs Kalmar Analysis →
15:00 Brommapojkarna vs Falkenbergs FF Analysis →
15:00 Halmstad vs Varbergs Analysis →
17:00 Hacken vs Vasteras SK FK Analysis →
19:00 IFK Skövde vs Djurgarden Analysis →
19:00 IK Sirius vs Helsingborgs IF Analysis →