Sassuolo 2-1 Atalanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 1 Mar 2026

Sassuolo
2-1 HT 1-0
Atalanta
📅01/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2025/2026

Sassuolo vs Atalanta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
46%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.86
Over
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.69
No
44%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.22
2-3
42%
1.75
4-5
22%
3.4
6+
11%
13.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.81
1/2 ✗
13%
25.5
1/X
10%
12.65
X/1
9%
6.84
X/2
10%
5.12
X/X
9%
4.45
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
23%
3.04
2/X
6%
12.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 13% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Sassuolo v Atalanta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo The Market 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta The Market 46%
+0% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +20%
1.01/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.06
+11% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +42%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
16.6 Crosses 17.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Sassuolo vs Atalanta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Atalanta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.11 xG 2.13
46% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
370 Passes 450
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 35
13 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
09.11.2025 Atalanta Atalanta 0-3 HT 0-1 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
17.02.2024 Atalanta Atalanta 3-0 HT 1-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
03.01.2024 Atalanta Atalanta 3-1 HT 1-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTK
20.08.2023 Sassuolo Sassuolo 0-2 HT 0-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
04.02.2023 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-0 HT 0-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
15.10.2022 Atalanta Atalanta 2-1 HT 1-1 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA

Sassuolo 2-1 Atalanta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo
2-1
AWAY Atalanta
1.65 xG 3.18
24% Ball Possession 76%
7 Total Shots 26
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
144 Passes 603
69% Pass Accuracy 92%
13 Box Touches 55
7 Crosses 42
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Sassuolo vs Atalanta
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Sassuolo squeezed past Atalanta 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We leaned Atalanta at 46% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Sassuolo had 24% of the ball to Atalanta's 76%, shots finished 7-26, expected goals 1.65 to 3.18 — the balance of chances actually favoured Atalanta.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atalanta led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sassuolo and 1.67 for Atalanta.

Sassuolo vs Atalanta Result & Final Score

Sassuolo 2-1 Atalanta in the Italy - Serie A on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sassuolo vs Atalanta Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo 29%, draw 25%, Atalanta 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atalanta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atalanta) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTA More Italy - Serie A
1 Mar 2026
14:30 Cremonese vs Milan Analysis →
20:00 Torino vs Lazio Analysis →
22:45 Roma vs Juventus Analysis →