Roma 3-3 Juventus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.46
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.64
Over
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2.57
2-3
42%
1.73
4-5
23%
4.24
6+
9%
21.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.7
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
10%
12.65
X/1
13%
5.43
X/2
12%
5.96
X/X
11%
3.84
2/1
11%
31.5
2/2
9%
4.29
2/X
7%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 31.5 — our 11% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus The Market 36%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.47/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.35
-11% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 82%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
20.0 Crosses 11.9
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roma
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Juventus
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.95 xG 1.15
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
433 Passes 410
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.12.2025 Juventus Juventus 2-1 HT 1-0 Roma Roma İTA
06.04.2025 Roma Roma 1-1 HT 0-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
01.09.2024 Juventus Juventus 0-0 HT 0-0 Roma Roma İTA
05.05.2024 Roma Roma 1-1 HT 1-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
30.12.2023 Juventus Juventus 1-0 HT 0-0 Roma Roma İTA
05.03.2023 Roma Roma 1-0 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma
3-3
AWAY Juventus
1.60 xG 1.36
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
341 Passes 403
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Roma vs Juventus
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Roma and Juventus finished all square at 3-3. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.

A gentle 44% lean on Roma didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 50% and both teams to score at 54%. The market went further still — the under-2.5 price closed at 1.64, about 61%.

On the day, Juventus saw more of the ball, 54% to 46%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.60 to 1.36.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventus led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Roma against 0.83 for Juventus.

Roma vs Juventus Result & Final Score

Roma 3-3 Juventus in the Italy - Serie A on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Roma vs Juventus Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Roma 44%, draw 28%, Juventus 28%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Roma) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roma) ✓ BTTS Yes
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