Vis Pesaro 1-1 Pontedera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.67
Over
42%
2.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.58
2-3
39%
1.7
4-5
20%
4.02
6+
8%
19.8
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.58 — our 33% vs market 30.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Vis Pesaro The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontedera The Market 27%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.59 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.11
1.06 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.14
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Strong
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vis Pesaro
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Pontedera
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2025 Pontedera Pontedera 0-2 HT 0-1 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
04.05.2025 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 1-1 HT 0-1 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
19.01.2025 Pontedera Pontedera 0-1 HT 0-1 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
14.09.2024 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 2-0 HT 0-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
02.03.2024 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 0-1 HT 0-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
26.10.2023 Pontedera Pontedera 0-0 HT 0-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vis Pesaro
1-1
AWAY Pontedera
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Vis Pesaro vs Pontedera
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Vis Pesaro and Pontedera finished all square at 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Vis Pesaro at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (58%) came home.

Under the surface, possession split 54% to 46% in Vis Pesaro's favour, shots finished 10-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vis Pesaro had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Vis Pesaro against 0.33 for Pontedera.

Vis Pesaro vs Pontedera Result & Final Score

Vis Pesaro 1-1 Pontedera in the Italy - Serie C on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Vis Pesaro vs Pontedera Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Vis Pesaro win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Vis Pesaro 48%, draw 28%, Pontedera 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vis Pesaro), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vis Pesaro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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