San Martin Tucuman 2-2 Deportivo Maipu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
35%
2.83
Away
18%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
Over 2.5
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.44
No
61%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.0pp
35%
Draw
32%
+3.1pp
18%
Away Win
21%
-3.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
37%
+2.5pp
61%
BTTS No
63%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -8%
1.21/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.33
+2% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin Tucuman
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Maipu
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 10
1 Corners 7
21.08.2025 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
30.03.2025 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 0-1 HT 0-1 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
30.06.2024 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 2-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
12.02.2024 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 0-2 HT 0-1 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
29.03.2022 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
28.06.2021 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Maipu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin Tucuman and Deportivo Maipu shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was San Martin Tucuman at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Martin Tucuman had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for San Martin Tucuman and 0.33 for Deportivo Maipu.

What was the final score of San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Maipu?

San Martin Tucuman 2-2 Deportivo Maipu in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Maipu?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split San Martin Tucuman 47%, draw 35%, Deportivo Maipu 18%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (San Martin Tucuman) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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