Leones Negros Udeg 1-1 Atlante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.69
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
49%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
24%
-3.2pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.1pp
49%
Away Win
52%
-2.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlante EU Bookmakers 56%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
1.80/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.15
+57% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Atlante
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
21.09.2025 Atlante Atlante 1-0 HT 1-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
09.03.2025 Atlante Atlante 2-1 HT 1-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
22.09.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 3-3 HT 2-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
13.05.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-2 HT 1-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
09.05.2024 Atlante Atlante 2-0 HT 0-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
22.01.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 0-0 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
1-1
AWAY Atlante
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Leones Negros Udeg vs Atlante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones Negros Udeg and Atlante shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Atlante at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Leones Negros Udeg had 44% of the ball to Atlante's 56%, shots finished 8-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlante led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Leones Negros Udeg and 1.67 for Atlante.

What was the final score of Leones Negros Udeg vs Atlante?

Leones Negros Udeg 1-1 Atlante in the Mexico - Primera A on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leones Negros Udeg vs Atlante?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atlante win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Leones Negros Udeg 20%, draw 31%, Atlante 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atlante) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atlante) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK2 More Mexico - Primera A
1 Mar 2026
04:00 Monarcas Morelia vs CA La Paz Analysis →
04:00 Cancun FC vs CDS Tampico Madero Analysis →