Monarcas Morelia vs CA La Paz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monarcas Morelia v CA La Paz — Team-Based Signals
Monarcas Morelia vs CA La Paz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
CA La Paz
MEK2
3-3
HT 2-1
Monarcas Morelia
MEK2
Monarcas Morelia 1-0 CA La Paz — Actual Match Statistics
Monarcas Morelia squeezed past CA La Paz 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Monarcas Morelia as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Monarcas Morelia had 58% of the ball to CA La Paz's 42%, shots finished 21-8.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monarcas Morelia had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Monarcas Morelia and 1.33 for CA La Paz.
What was the final score of Monarcas Morelia vs CA La Paz?
Monarcas Morelia 1-0 CA La Paz in the Mexico - Primera A on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monarcas Morelia vs CA La Paz?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monarcas Morelia win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Monarcas Morelia 56%, draw 19%, CA La Paz 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monarcas Morelia) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.