CA La Paz 3-0 Monarcas Morelia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
33%
+2.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.0pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA La Paz EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Monarcas Morelia EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -22%
1.75/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.59
+36% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
362 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA La Paz
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Monarcas Morelia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0 Corners 6
16.03.2025 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 4-1 HT 2-1 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
28.09.2024 CA La Paz CA La Paz 0-1 HT 0-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
10.01.2024 CA La Paz CA La Paz 1-1 HT 0-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
11.09.2023 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 2-0 HT 1-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
20.01.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 3-3 HT 2-1 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
18.09.2022 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 4-2 HT 2-2 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
POST-MATCH CA La Paz vs Monarcas Morelia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA La Paz swept aside Monarcas Morelia 3-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 23% / 41% — and on the day CA La Paz made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monarcas Morelia led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CA La Paz and 2.50 for Monarcas Morelia.

What was the final score of CA La Paz vs Monarcas Morelia?

CA La Paz 3-0 Monarcas Morelia in the Mexico - Primera A on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA La Paz vs Monarcas Morelia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monarcas Morelia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CA La Paz 36%, draw 23%, Monarcas Morelia 41%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Monarcas Morelia), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monarcas Morelia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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