CD Tapatio 2-2 Correcaminos UAT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.86
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
21%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.56
No
53%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
50%
+10.2pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.3pp
21%
Away Win
27%
-5.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.4pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +6%
1.44/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.60
-13% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
405 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Tapatio
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Correcaminos UAT
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
3 Corners 5
12.04.2025 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 4-0 HT 2-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
25.10.2024 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 0-3 HT 0-2 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
21.03.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-2 HT 0-1 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
17.08.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 2-2 HT 0-2 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
21.01.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-2 HT 1-2 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
21.09.2022 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-0 HT 1-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Tapatio
2-2
AWAY Correcaminos UAT
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CD Tapatio vs Correcaminos UAT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Tapatio and Correcaminos UAT shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had CD Tapatio at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, CD Tapatio had 61% of the ball to Correcaminos UAT's 39%, shots finished 19-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Tapatio had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for CD Tapatio and 0.83 for Correcaminos UAT.

What was the final score of CD Tapatio vs Correcaminos UAT?

CD Tapatio 2-2 Correcaminos UAT in the Mexico - Primera A on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Tapatio vs Correcaminos UAT?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Tapatio win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split CD Tapatio 60%, draw 19%, Correcaminos UAT 21%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CD Tapatio) ✗ BTTS No
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