Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Legia Varşova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Jagiellonia Bialystok v Legia Varşova — Team-Based Signals
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Legia Varşova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-2 Legia Varşova — Actual Match Statistics
Jagiellonia Bialystok and Legia Varşova shared the points in a 2-2 draw. The 2-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.
Our pre-match lean was Jagiellonia Bialystok at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, Jagiellonia Bialystok had 58% of the ball to Legia Varşova's 42%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.97 to 1.03.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jagiellonia Bialystok had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jagiellonia Bialystok and 0.83 for Legia Varşova.
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Legia Varşova Result & Final Score
Jagiellonia Bialystok 2 - 2 Legia Varşova in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Legia Varşova Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Jagiellonia Bialystok win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Jagiellonia Bialystok 43%, draw 28%, Legia Varşova 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok) went the other way.