Yverdon 0-2 Lugano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 1 Apr 2025

📅01/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.75
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
46%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.55
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.52
6+ Goals
10%
13.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.52 — our 25% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.76
1/2
6%
23.3
1/X
7%
15.2
X/1
15%
8.69
X/2
18%
4.43
X/X
7%
5.1
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
23%
2.39
2/X
8%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
23%
+7.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-5.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yverdon EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugano EU Bookmakers 56%
+21% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.31/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.91
+19% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +88%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
16.0 Crosses 16.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yverdon
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Lugano
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.57 xG 2.70
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
295 Passes 464
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.12.2024 Yverdon Yverdon 0-2 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSVK
03.11.2024 Lugano Lugano 2-0 HT 1-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
20.10.2024 Yverdon Yverdon 2-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
16.03.2024 Lugano Lugano 2-0 HT 1-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
25.11.2023 Yverdon Yverdon 0-5 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
13.08.2023 Lugano Lugano 6-1 HT 3-1 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yverdon
0-2
AWAY Lugano
0.33 xG 1.73
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
253 Passes 289
66% Pass Accuracy 70%
14 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yverdon vs Lugano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugano got the better of Yverdon 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lugano as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Yverdon had 48% of the ball to Lugano's 52%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.33 to 1.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lugano led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Yverdon and 2.83 for Lugano.

What was the final score of Yverdon vs Lugano?

Yverdon 0-2 Lugano in the Switzerland - Super League on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yverdon vs Lugano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Yverdon 31%, draw 23%, Lugano 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lugano) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lugano) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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